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The Propaganda Risk Index: Why Every Policy Needs One

Not every policy is vulnerable to the same distortion. We built a score that tells you where the story will be twisted first.

KR

Kamil Rayes

Researcher · April 2, 2026

The question is not whether a policy will be attacked. It is which sentence will be pulled out of context, who will pull it, and how fast it spreads before anyone can clarify.

The three axes of the index

  • Distortability — how easy is it to lift a line and make it mean something else.
  • Amplifier alignment — which existing media actors have an incentive to carry the distorted version.
  • Trust deficit — how much of the audience is already primed to believe the worst.

A score is not a verdict. It is a warning that tells the communications team which paragraphs to rewrite before publishing.

We ran the same climate bill through the simulator in three countries. Identical text, wildly different risk surfaces. The one that failed in public had the highest distortability on its opening paragraph.